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House Price Prophet Says Crash Has Already Begun

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Morning, Tuesday's got a bit of everything today: property doom-mongering, a tech giant's earnings win, and a Brexit deal that might make your weekly shop less painful. Grab a coffee, this one's worth the read.


This is Money

The economist who called the last two crashes says this one's already here

An economist with a track record of spotting housing crashes years early reckons we're already in one, and that average home values could fall by as much as £82,000.
- Why it matters: if you own a home or are about to buy, this is the kind of call that shapes mortgage decisions for years.
- He's been right twice before, which is exactly why people are paying attention this time.
- No crystal ball is perfect, so treat this as one strong opinion, not gospel.

Read the full story →

The Guardian Business

Apple's new CEO starts with a bang

John Ternus took over as Apple's CEO in September and just posted revenue of $30.71bn, beating analyst expectations. That's a rare bright spot, since big tech names like Alphabet and Amazon have been trending the other way this quarter. A strong start like this tends to calm investor nerves about leadership changes.

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BBC Business

UK and EU agree to cut Brexit red tape on food

Britain and the EU have drafted a deal to scrap a chunk of the paperwork and checks that have made food exports a headache since Brexit.
- It's being billed as the biggest part of the UK-EU 'reset' so far, with a summit due later this month.
- Why it matters: less red tape usually means lower costs for food businesses, which can eventually trickle down to supermarket shelves.

Read the full story →


This is Money

Poundland's numbers don't match the gloomy headlines

Despite all the doom around Poundland, internal figures reportedly show sales up around 10% and trading 'flying'. It's a reminder that private equity ownership stories and the actual shop floor numbers don't always tell the same tale.

Read the full story →

CNBC Top News

North Korea denies the $6.3bn Binance hack (again)

Pyongyang is rejecting US claims it was behind the record-breaking Binance hack, even as blockchain researchers trace the stolen crypto across networks. Crypto security remains a live risk for anyone holding digital assets, denial or not.

Read the full story →

The Motley Fool UK

Rolls-Royce shares down 15% in October, what's going on?

Rolls-Royce shares have taken a real tumble this month. The question for investors is whether this is a fundamental problem with the business or just a pullback worth a second look. Either way, it's a good example of why single-month share moves rarely tell the whole story.

Read the full story →

Marcus's take

Big picture today: one economist is shouting about house prices falling, while Apple just quietly proved that good earnings never go out of style. Add in some actual Brexit progress on food red tape, and you've got a day where the gloomy headlines and the decent news are fighting for your attention. My take: read the scary stuff, but don't let it drown out the boring, steady wins like Poundland's sales growth. Markets and headlines rarely move at the same speed.

One more thing

Dumpster diving for scooters and shampoo is apparently a thing now, so if your bins look suspiciously tidy this week, you know who to blame.

That is all for today.

Marcus
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